The Accuracy of Cardinality Estimators: Unraveling the Evaluation Result Conundrum

Summary: Shows per-dataset evaluation (PDE) of cardinality estimators is inadequate—produces non-aggregable, contradictory results across datasets. Proposes a discretization-based multidimensional evaluation enabling robust aggregation, pairwise comparisons and customizable ranking; benchmarks show many estimators fail 2‑D range queries. (summarized by gpt-5-mini on Feb 09 2026)

Paper ID: 13997
Venue: VLDB
Year: 2025
Pagerank: 4.1945683e-05
Overall Rank: 10,699 | 25.57%
DOI: 10.14778/3749646.3749651

Incoming Non-self Citations Over Time

No non-self incoming citations found for this paper in this database.

Authors

1. Nazanin Rashedi
2. Guido Moerkotte

Incoming Citations (Sorted by Pagerank)

Showing 0 of 0 citing papers.

Rank	Citing Paper	Year	Venue	Pagerank

Outgoing Citations (Sorted by Pagerank)

Showing 14 of 14 cited papers.

Citations counted here include only citations to other VLDB/SIGMOD/CIDR/PODS papers in this database.

Rank	Cited Paper	Year	Venue	Pagerank
2	R-Trees: A Dynamic Index Structure For Spatial Searching	1984	SIGMOD	0.0032169493
71	How Good Are Query Optimizers, Really?	2016	VLDB	0.00059038975
204	Learned Cardinalities: Estimating Correlated Joins with Deep Learning	2019	CIDR	0.00034784455
608	DeepDB: Learn from Data, not from Queries!	2020	VLDB	0.00019235898
629	Preventing Bad Plans by Bounding the Impact of Cardinality Estimation Errors	2009	VLDB	0.00018942366
758	Deep Unsupervised Cardinality Estimation	2020	VLDB	0.0001706608
1,254	Selectivity Estimation for Range Predicates using Lightweight Models	2019	VLDB	0.00013027411
1,638	Cardinality Estimation in DBMS: A Comprehensive Benchmark Evaluation	2022	VLDB	0.00011049779
1,703	Are We Ready For Learned Cardinality Estimation?	2021	VLDB	0.00010836769
3,449	Learned Cardinality Estimation: A Design Space Exploration and A Comparative Evaluation	2022	VLDB	7.0824319e-05
5,633	Analyzing the Impact of Cardinality Estimation on Execution Plans in Microsoft SQL Server	2023	VLDB	5.4011156e-05
6,374	Optimization of Conjunctive Predicates for Main Memory Column Stores	2016	VLDB	5.0927058e-05
7,123	ASM: Harmonizing Autoregressive Model, Sampling, and Multi-dimensional Statistics Merging for Cardinality Estimation	2024	SIGMOD	4.8251036e-05
8,948	One Seed, Two Birds: A Unified Learned Structure for Exact and Approximate Counting	2024	SIGMOD	4.423786e-05

Semantically Similar Papers

Overall Rank	Paper	Year	Venue	Pagerank
6,368	Pre-training Summarization Models of Structured Datasets for Cardinality Estimation	2022	VLDB	5.0937722e-05
11,190	Efficient and Effective Cardinality Estimation for Skyline Family	2023	SIGMOD	4.1945683e-05
6,383	Sample-Efficient Cardinality Estimation Using Geometric Deep Learning	2024	VLDB	5.0884322e-05
7,221	Speeding Up End-to-end Query Execution via Learning-based Progressive Cardinality Estimation	2023	SIGMOD	4.797194e-05
758	Deep Unsupervised Cardinality Estimation	2020	VLDB	0.0001706608
3,266	Learned Cardinality Estimation: An In-depth Study	2022	SIGMOD	7.3074684e-05
1,683	Cardinality Estimation: An Experimental Survey	2018	VLDB	0.00010922679
3,449	Learned Cardinality Estimation: A Design Space Exploration and A Comparative Evaluation	2022	VLDB	7.0824319e-05
1,638	Cardinality Estimation in DBMS: A Comprehensive Benchmark Evaluation	2022	VLDB	0.00011049779
1,703	Are We Ready For Learned Cardinality Estimation?	2021	VLDB	0.00010836769